Example: OHagan-function

This example deals with the surrogate modeling of O’Hagan function with 15 parameters. You will see how to check the quality of your regression model and perform sensitivity analysis via Sobol Indices

Oakley & O’Hagan (2004) Function

This function’s a-coefficients are chosen so that 5 of the input variables contribute significantly to the output variance, 5 have a much smaller effect, and the remaining 5 have almost no effect on the output variance.

O’Hagan, 2004, Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach J. R. Statist. Soc. B (2004) 66, Part 3, pp. 751-769.

This example trains a surrogate with AL. FastARD is set as the regression type and the space-filling sequential exploitaiton scheme is chosen as no data is given.

Model and Data

Pylink model

Property

Setting

Model type

Function

Number of input parameters

15

Number of output parameters

1

Time- or space- dependency

??

MC reference

No

Priors

Parameter

Distribution

0-14

gaussian

Surrogate

MetaModel settings

Property

Setting

surrogate-type

aPCE

associated model

‘OHagan’

degree choices

max degree 7, q-norm truncation 0.65

regression

FastARD

Training choices

Property

Setting

Static sampling method

latin-hypercube

Number of static samples

100

Number of total samples

500

Number of samples per AL iteration

1

AL tradeoff scheme

None

AL exploration method

latin-hypercube, n_candidates=10000, n_cand_groups=4

AL exploitation method

space-filling